2014 BHD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7379.8316 UGX

YEARLY LOW

6504.4685 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

6889.2019 UGX

2014 BHD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BHD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 7379.8316. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 6504.4685.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 875.3631 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6634.0016 to the December average rate of 7336.4837, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 7379.8316 was up 2.35% compared to the 2013 peak of 7210.1265, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BHD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,899,158 UGX

2013 Average 34,302,351 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 32,522,343 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,376,815.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

7415.3368

6469.0999

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BHD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6690.5200, compared to 7087.8838 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 397.3638 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6690.5200

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7087.8838

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 229.8190 UGX (High: 7368.5835 / Low: 7138.7645). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 78.1685 UGX (High: 7379.8316 / Low: 7301.6630).

November Spread (Volatile) ±229.8190

December Spread (Stable) ±78.1685

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 86.0487 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -86.0487

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 7336.4837) against the same month in 2013 (average: 6665.9548), the exchange rate shifted by +670.5289 (+10.06%).

2014 Avg (December) 7336.4837

2013 Avg (December) 6665.9548

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6729.9724	6560.2902	6634.0016
February	6703.1028	6504.4685	6547.9530
March	6805.2111	6659.0802	6718.3299
April	6801.6364	6658.0467	6700.8056
May	6760.3956	6679.8222	6709.9546
June	6918.5490	6751.9666	6832.0754
July	7070.9080	6873.0815	6978.6826
August	6956.0493	6870.9371	6921.8851
September	7032.2377	6899.3541	6945.3331
October	7199.1375	7014.6894	7096.7201
November	7368.5835	7138.7645	7248.1980
December	7379.8316	7301.6630	7336.4837