2018 BHD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10335.2204 UGX

YEARLY LOW

9622.6896 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

9876.8919 UGX

2018 BHD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BHD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 10335.2204. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 9622.6896.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 712.5309 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9656.5019 to the December average rate of 9853.0073, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10335.2204 was up 6.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 9721.3231, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BHD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,676,102 UGX

2017 Average 47,948,709 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 48,113,448 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,562,654.28 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10198.8017

9604.3554

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BHD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9806.5009, compared to 9947.2829 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 140.7820 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9806.5009

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9947.2829

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 574.6229 UGX (High: 10303.1891 / Low: 9728.5663). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 81.9839 UGX (High: 9706.7513 / Low: 9624.7674).

July Spread (Volatile) ±574.6229

January Spread (Stable) ±81.9839

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 232.8727 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -232.8727

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 10149.2645) against the same month in 2017 (average: 9517.6900), the exchange rate shifted by +631.5745 (+6.64%).

2018 Avg (June) 10149.2645

2017 Avg (June) 9517.6900

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9706.7513	9624.7674	9656.5019
February	9719.5691	9622.6896	9653.8926
March	9789.0172	9658.6994	9695.7643
April	9854.6727	9752.4012	9804.7538
May	9995.9453	9837.8285	9878.8282
June	10335.2204	9984.3443	10149.2645
July	10303.1891	9728.5663	9916.3918
August	9997.1367	9758.8067	9885.0906
September	10150.1007	9980.7099	10085.4006
October	10141.9218	9960.3293	10025.1247
November	9968.0575	9864.9399	9918.6821
December	9920.4714	9795.9800	9853.0073