YEARLY HIGH
9788.3266 UGX
YEARLY LOW
7356.2894 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8581.9339 UGX

2015 BHD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BHD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 9788.3266. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 7356.2894.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2432.0371 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7561.9062 to the December average rate of 8912.3756, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 9788.3266 was up 32.64% compared to the 2014 peak of 7379.8316, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BHD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,941,633 UGX
2014 Average 34,457,710 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 36,781,447 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,160,185.65 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

9926.4328
7346.9493
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BHD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7892.1585, compared to 9271.7092 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1379.5507 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7892.1585
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9271.7092

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 711.2569 UGX (High: 9367.1298 / Low: 8655.8729). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 84.8744 UGX (High: 9763.1101 / Low: 9678.2358).

July Spread (Volatile) ±711.2569
September Spread (Stable) ±84.8744

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 576.6142 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -576.6142

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 9653.8800) against the same month in 2014 (average: 7096.7201), the exchange rate shifted by +2557.1599 (+36.03%).

2015 Avg (October) 9653.8800
2014 Avg (October) 7096.7201

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7697.0412 7356.2894 7561.9062
February 7685.1643 7589.2779 7614.9685
March 8018.0774 7666.6357 7812.3639
April 8010.2759 7892.0003 7943.1508
May 8105.7191 7908.7514 7972.2824
June 8743.3968 8123.0101 8448.2794
July 9367.1298 8655.8729 8883.3516
August 9681.9327 9091.2969 9391.9065
September 9763.1101 9678.2358 9711.4758
October 9788.3266 9375.5663 9653.8800
November 9423.7469 8892.1888 9077.2658
December 9156.6726 8728.3944 8912.3756