2016 BHD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

9634.1281 UGX

YEARLY LOW

8775.9594 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

9064.7343 UGX

2016 BHD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BHD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 9634.1281. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 8775.9594.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 858.1687 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9141.6434 to the December average rate of 9554.6152, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9634.1281 was down 1.58% compared to the 2015 peak of 9788.3266, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BHD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,170,641 UGX

2015 Average 42,937,730 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 43,879,797 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,290,843.64 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9623.5408

8796.4334

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BHD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8968.5524, compared to 9160.9161 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 192.3638 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8968.5524

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9160.9161

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 438.7016 UGX (High: 9624.7901 / Low: 9186.0886). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 36.5425 UGX (High: 8964.7486 / Low: 8928.2061).

November Spread (Volatile) ±438.7016

August Spread (Stable) ±36.5425

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 175.4945 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -175.4945

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 9554.6152) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8912.3756), the exchange rate shifted by +642.2396 (+7.21%).

2016 Avg (December) 9554.6152

2015 Avg (December) 8912.3756

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9238.2446	8953.4893	9141.6434
February	9221.3684	8900.0538	9092.0058
March	8957.1408	8861.4028	8916.5113
April	8942.3835	8775.9594	8865.3590
May	8982.7780	8799.6250	8870.5601
June	9046.8294	8871.2629	8925.2346
July	9013.5585	8919.5897	8957.1755
August	8964.7486	8928.2061	8942.6794
September	8985.9806	8939.5604	8968.7227
October	9184.3966	8962.7413	9098.7659
November	9624.7901	9186.0886	9443.5381
December	9634.1281	9426.1980	9554.6152