YEARLY HIGH
9.5390 HNL
YEARLY LOW
7.7356 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.6929 HNL

2014 BRL to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BRL to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 29, valuing the pair at 9.5390. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 7.7356.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8034 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.4341 to the December average rate of 7.9753, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 9.5390 was down 6.93% compared to the 2013 peak of 10.2493, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 238,475 HNL
2013 Average 233,315 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 193,390 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 45,085.42 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

9.5682
7.8305
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.5984, compared to 8.7874 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1890 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.5984
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.7874

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.8120 HNL (High: 9.4529 / Low: 8.6409). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2441 HNL (High: 8.4185 / Low: 8.1744).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.8120
February Spread (Stable) ±0.2441

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3739 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3739

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2014: 9.3294) against the same month in 2013 (average: 9.3311), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0017 (-0.02%).

2014 Avg (June) 9.3294
2013 Avg (June) 9.3311

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5797 8.1796 8.4341
February 8.4185 8.1744 8.2882
March 8.4987 8.1953 8.3124
April 8.7359 8.4468 8.5790
May 9.2435 8.5402 8.6472
June 9.5390 9.0740 9.3294
July 9.5142 9.2621 9.4234
August 9.4430 9.1312 9.2697
September 9.4529 8.6409 9.0457
October 8.8937 8.4802 8.6718
November 8.6129 8.1341 8.3384
December 8.2944 7.7356 7.9753