YEARLY HIGH
7.4987 HNL
YEARLY LOW
5.7181 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.5866 HNL

2018 BRL to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BRL to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 29, valuing the pair at 7.4987. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 13, dropping to 5.7181.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7806 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3665 to the December average rate of 6.2369, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.4987 was down 2.36% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.6799, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 187,467 HNL
2017 Average 183,857 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 142,951 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 44,516.07 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.5162
5.7204
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9474, compared to 6.2259 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7215 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9474
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2259

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.6976 HNL (High: 6.4828 / Low: 5.7852). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2493 HNL (High: 7.3573 / Low: 7.1081).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6976
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2493

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3994 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3994

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 7.3665) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.3052), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0613 (+0.84%).

2018 Avg (January) 7.3665
2017 Avg (January) 7.3052

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.4987 7.1248 7.3665
February 7.4605 7.1433 7.2678
March 7.3573 7.1081 7.2059
April 7.1590 6.7469 6.9482
May 6.7491 6.3591 6.5489
June 6.4658 6.1400 6.3469
July 6.4909 6.1093 6.2808
August 6.4828 5.7852 6.1309
September 5.9968 5.7181 5.8701
October 6.6191 5.9952 6.4094
November 6.5585 6.1783 6.4271
December 6.3536 5.9102 6.2369