YEARLY HIGH
6.1423 HNL
YEARLY LOW
4.2353 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8454 HNL

2020 BRL to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the BRL to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 6.1423. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 12, dropping to 4.2353.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9071 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9855 to the December average rate of 4.7119, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 6.1423 was down 8.50% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.7128, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 153,558 HNL
2019 Average 155,801 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 105,882 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 47,676.57 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

6.1475
4.2039
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1247, compared to 4.5661 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5586 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1247
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5661

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.7792 HNL (High: 5.5662 / Low: 4.7870). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1885 HNL (High: 4.4514 / Low: 4.2628).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.7792
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1885

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6093 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6093

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 5.9855) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6.5343), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5488 (-8.40%).

2020 Avg (January) 5.9855
2019 Avg (January) 6.5343

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1423 5.7957 5.9855
February 5.8520 5.5407 5.7106
March 5.5662 4.7870 5.1013
April 4.8796 4.4221 4.6890
May 4.7326 4.2353 4.4549
June 5.1772 4.5233 4.8067
July 4.8586 4.6013 4.7037
August 4.7773 4.3735 4.5413
September 4.7183 4.3531 4.5789
October 4.4514 4.2628 4.3659
November 4.5892 4.2651 4.4948
December 4.8178 4.6167 4.7119