YEARLY HIGH
7.3127 HNL
YEARLY LOW
5.4291 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.5682 HNL

2016 BRL to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BRL to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 25, valuing the pair at 7.3127. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 5.4291.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8836 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5491 to the December average rate of 6.9540, the exchange rate registered a net change of 25.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.3127 was down 11.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.2172, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 182,816 HNL
2015 Average 165,182 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 135,728 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 47,088.76 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.3174
5.3884
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1215, compared to 7.0149 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8934 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1215
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0149

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.7810 HNL (High: 7.0587 / Low: 6.2777). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2170 HNL (High: 5.6461 / Low: 5.4291).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.7810
January Spread (Stable) ±0.2170

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2805 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2805

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 7.1567) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.6662), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4905 (+26.31%).

2016 Avg (October) 7.1567
2015 Avg (October) 5.6662

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6461 5.4291 5.5491
February 5.8035 5.5699 5.6860
March 6.2955 5.7384 6.1267
April 6.5517 6.1263 6.3559
May 6.5658 6.2586 6.3847
June 7.0587 6.2777 6.6268
July 7.0445 6.7843 6.9566
August 7.2870 6.9817 7.1244
September 7.1394 6.8558 7.0217
October 7.3127 7.0014 7.1567
November 7.1794 6.6856 6.8762
December 7.1757 6.5739 6.9540