2012 BTN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

51.7913 UGX

YEARLY LOW

43.2056 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

47.5850 UGX

2012 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 51.7913. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 43.2056.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.5857 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 47.1149 to the December average rate of 48.9060, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 51.7913 was down 16.07% compared to the 2011 peak of 61.7053, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 258,956 UGX

2011 Average 271,121 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 216,028 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 42,928.42 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

49.7815

43.9314

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 47.0406, compared to 48.1294 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0887 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 47.0406

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 48.1294

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 4.9127 UGX (High: 51.1006 / Low: 46.1879). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1710 UGX (High: 49.1489 / Low: 47.9779).

September Spread (Volatile) ±4.9127

August Spread (Stable) ±1.1710

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 2.8179 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8179

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2012: 48.7480) against the same month in 2011 (average: 56.9028), the exchange rate shifted by -8.1548 (-14.33%).

2012 Avg (October) 48.7480

2011 Avg (October) 56.9028

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	47.8093	45.9386	47.1149
February	48.9482	46.7242	47.4052
March	51.4213	48.5828	49.2940
April	49.5165	47.6231	48.4144
May	47.6272	44.2933	45.5965
June	45.0600	43.2056	44.4189
July	48.3808	44.3014	46.3570
August	49.1489	47.9779	48.4664
September	51.1006	46.1879	48.5026
October	51.7913	47.9481	48.7480
November	49.1232	47.3837	47.7962
December	49.7440	48.1308	48.9060