2021 BTN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

50.7857 UGX

YEARLY LOW

46.7005 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

48.5764 UGX

2021 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 22, valuing the pair at 50.7857. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 46.7005.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.0852 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 50.4880 to the December average rate of 47.2102, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 50.7857 was down 2.17% compared to the 2020 peak of 51.9148, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 253,929 UGX

2020 Average 250,963 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 233,502 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,426.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

50.8158

46.8824

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 49.4631, compared to 47.6898 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7733 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 49.4631

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 47.6898

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 2.1189 UGX (High: 50.0337 / Low: 47.9148). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4474 UGX (High: 47.9437 / Low: 47.4963).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.1189

July Spread (Stable) ±0.4474

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.5754 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5754

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2021: 50.4563) against the same month in 2020 (average: 51.4547), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9984 (-1.94%).

2021 Avg (February) 50.4563

2020 Avg (February) 51.4547

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	50.7594	49.7797	50.4880
February	50.7857	50.1000	50.4563
March	50.6942	49.7341	50.3755
April	50.0337	47.9148	48.8001
May	48.9947	48.1220	48.5301
June	48.6474	47.6523	48.1287
July	47.9437	47.4963	47.6894
August	48.4514	47.4304	47.7042
September	48.3818	47.6437	48.0037
October	48.3537	47.3406	47.7823
November	48.2799	47.3670	47.7490
December	47.6766	46.7005	47.2102