2020 BTN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

51.9148 UGX

YEARLY LOW

48.9221 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

50.1956 UGX

2020 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 51.9148. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 48.9221.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9927 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 51.6417 to the December average rate of 49.7809, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 51.9148 was down 4.64% compared to the 2019 peak of 54.4435, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 259,574 UGX

2019 Average 263,330 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 244,610 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,963.58 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

51.8740

49.0856

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 50.4871, compared to 49.9040 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5831 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 50.4871

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 49.9040

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 1.5719 UGX (High: 51.6116 / Low: 50.0397). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4814 UGX (High: 50.6264 / Low: 50.1451).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.5719

September Spread (Stable) ±0.4814

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.0083 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0083

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 51.6417) against the same month in 2019 (average: 52.4579), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8163 (-1.56%).

2020 Avg (January) 51.6417

2019 Avg (January) 52.4579

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	51.9148	51.3413	51.6417
February	51.8531	51.0159	51.4547
March	51.6116	50.0397	50.6793
April	50.3744	49.0322	49.6709
May	50.6246	49.8703	50.1340
June	50.1208	48.9221	49.3420
July	49.8450	49.0796	49.4246
August	50.1497	48.9916	49.3180
September	50.6264	50.1451	50.3622
October	51.0440	50.1664	50.5632
November	50.4706	49.5126	49.9753
December	50.2323	49.2986	49.7809