2018 BTN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

57.6716 UGX

YEARLY LOW

50.8284 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

54.5978 UGX

2018 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 57.6716. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 50.8284.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.8432 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 57.2048 to the December average rate of 52.5776, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 57.6716 was down 6.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 61.8012, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 288,358 UGX

2017 Average 278,002 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 254,142 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,215.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

57.7910

50.7573

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 56.3532, compared to 52.8424 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.5108 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 56.3532

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 52.8424

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 3.2574 UGX (High: 56.9549 / Low: 53.6975). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7983 UGX (High: 56.7015 / Low: 55.9033).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3.2574

March Spread (Stable) ±0.7983

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.9363 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9363

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 57.2048) against the same month in 2017 (average: 53.1039), the exchange rate shifted by +4.1010 (+7.72%).

2018 Avg (January) 57.2048

2017 Avg (January) 53.1039

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	57.6716	56.7559	57.2048
February	56.9627	55.9217	56.5368
March	56.7015	55.9033	56.2143
April	56.8315	55.4352	56.2972
May	55.9583	54.6072	55.2298
June	57.4186	56.1371	56.6361
July	56.9549	53.6975	54.6997
August	53.9094	53.0529	53.6368
September	53.0957	52.1761	52.7700
October	52.4935	50.8284	51.3434
November	53.4665	50.9155	52.0267
December	53.4608	51.3492	52.5776