2011 CDF to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0952 NPR

YEARLY LOW

0.0765 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0812 NPR

2011 CDF to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the CDF to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 0.0952. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 27, dropping to 0.0765.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0187 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0785 to the December average rate of 0.0927, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0952 was up 15.97% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0821, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 476 NPR

2010 Average 399 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 382 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 93.47 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0943

0.0761

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0783, compared to 0.0842 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0059 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0783

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0842

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.0063 NPR (High: 0.0909 / Low: 0.0846). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 NPR (High: 0.0783 / Low: 0.0771).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0063

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.0927) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0787), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0141 (+17.86%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.0927

2010 Avg (December) 0.0787

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0794	0.0775	0.0785
February	0.0788	0.0771	0.0778
March	0.0783	0.0771	0.0776
April	0.0785	0.0773	0.0778
May	0.0798	0.0777	0.0787
June	0.0796	0.0784	0.0791
July	0.0789	0.0765	0.0779
August	0.0807	0.0774	0.0796
September	0.0851	0.0797	0.0826
October	0.0855	0.0835	0.0846
November	0.0909	0.0846	0.0878
December	0.0952	0.0900	0.0927