YEARLY HIGH
0.0729 NPR
YEARLY LOW
0.0628 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0675 NPR

2018 CDF to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 2, valuing the pair at 0.0729. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 0.0628.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0101 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0636 to the December average rate of 0.0695, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0729 was down 22.82% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0945, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 365 NPR
2017 Average 361 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 314 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 50.38 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0732
0.0627
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0652, compared to 0.0699 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0047 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0652
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0699

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0041 NPR (High: 0.0729 / Low: 0.0688). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 NPR (High: 0.0646 / Low: 0.0640).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0041
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0015 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0015

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.0708) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0660), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0048 (+7.28%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.0708
2017 Avg (November) 0.0660

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0653 0.0628 0.0636
February 0.0646 0.0632 0.0639
March 0.0646 0.0640 0.0643
April 0.0663 0.0644 0.0651
May 0.0677 0.0659 0.0669
June 0.0681 0.0664 0.0671
July 0.0702 0.0662 0.0678
August 0.0694 0.0672 0.0684
September 0.0715 0.0691 0.0705
October 0.0729 0.0714 0.0723
November 0.0729 0.0688 0.0708
December 0.0713 0.0682 0.0695