2016 CDF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0885 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.0511 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0697 RUB

2016 CDF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.0885. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.0511.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0374 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0826 to the December average rate of 0.0533, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0885 was up 11.69% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0792, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 442 RUB

2015 Average 331 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 255 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 187.01 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0862

0.0503

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0755, compared to 0.0639 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0117 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0755

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0639

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0143 RUB (High: 0.0707 / Low: 0.0564). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 RUB (High: 0.0659 / Low: 0.0636).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0143

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0120 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0826) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0692), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0134 (+19.35%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0826

2015 Avg (January) 0.0692

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0885	0.0789	0.0826
February	0.0858	0.0814	0.0832
March	0.0799	0.0725	0.0754
April	0.0738	0.0699	0.0717
May	0.0722	0.0698	0.0710
June	0.0722	0.0663	0.0693
July	0.0694	0.0655	0.0676
August	0.0687	0.0650	0.0664
September	0.0672	0.0642	0.0661
October	0.0659	0.0636	0.0645
November	0.0707	0.0564	0.0653
December	0.0565	0.0511	0.0533