YEARLY HIGH
0.0432 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.0343 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0388 RUB

2018 CDF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 0.0432. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 0.0343.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0088 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0354 to the December average rate of 0.0416, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0432 was down 17.66% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0525, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 216 RUB
2017 Average 202 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 172 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 44.24 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0422
0.0347
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0369, compared to 0.0407 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0038 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0369
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0407

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0036 RUB (High: 0.0390 / Low: 0.0354). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 RUB (High: 0.0358 / Low: 0.0348).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0036
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0009 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0009

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.0413) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0369), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0044 (+11.87%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.0413
2017 Avg (September) 0.0369

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0369 0.0349 0.0354
February 0.0365 0.0343 0.0353
March 0.0358 0.0348 0.0353
April 0.0390 0.0354 0.0376
May 0.0395 0.0378 0.0386
June 0.0396 0.0382 0.0389
July 0.0401 0.0379 0.0388
August 0.0419 0.0387 0.0408
September 0.0432 0.0401 0.0413
October 0.0410 0.0398 0.0405
November 0.0422 0.0399 0.0410
December 0.0426 0.0406 0.0416