YEARLY HIGH
0.0422 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.0367 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0392 RUB

2019 CDF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CDF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.0422. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 0.0367.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0055 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0408 to the December average rate of 0.0375, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.0422 was down 2.29% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.0432, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 211 RUB
2018 Average 194 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 184 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27.45 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.0411
0.0371
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0397, compared to 0.0386 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0397
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0386

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0023 RUB (High: 0.0422 / Low: 0.0399). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 RUB (High: 0.0387 / Low: 0.0381).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0023
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0009 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0009

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.0408) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.0354), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0054 (+15.33%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.0408
2018 Avg (January) 0.0354

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0422 0.0399 0.0408
February 0.0407 0.0397 0.0402
March 0.0407 0.0389 0.0399
April 0.0399 0.0388 0.0394
May 0.0399 0.0390 0.0395
June 0.0398 0.0378 0.0388
July 0.0385 0.0378 0.0381
August 0.0407 0.0388 0.0398
September 0.0402 0.0383 0.0390
October 0.0394 0.0382 0.0387
November 0.0387 0.0381 0.0384
December 0.0386 0.0367 0.0375