YEARLY HIGH
27.5511 DJF
YEARLY LOW
25.5621 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
26.7624 DJF

2016 CNY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CNY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 31, valuing the pair at 27.5511. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 25.5621.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9890 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.0647 to the December average rate of 25.7719, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 27.5511 was down 4.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 28.9004, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 688,778 DJF
2015 Average 708,116 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 639,052 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 49,726.19 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

27.5942
25.6063
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.1875, compared to 26.3373 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8502 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.1875
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.3373

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.6556 DJF (High: 26.3722 / Low: 25.7166). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1628 DJF (High: 27.5001 / Low: 27.3373).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.6556
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1628

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4209 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4209

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 27.3186) against the same month in 2015 (average: 28.5824), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2637 (-4.42%).

2016 Avg (March) 27.3186
2015 Avg (March) 28.5824

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 27.3583 26.9782 27.0647
February 27.2834 26.9956 27.1305
March 27.5511 27.1193 27.3186
April 27.5001 27.3373 27.4285
May 27.4607 27.0005 27.1999
June 27.0929 26.6936 26.9827
July 26.6910 26.4489 26.5618
August 26.7717 26.5569 26.6740
September 26.6649 26.4740 26.5878
October 26.6977 26.1437 26.4110
November 26.3722 25.7166 26.0171
December 25.9067 25.5621 25.7719