2018 CNY to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

28.4030 DJF

YEARLY LOW

25.5172 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

26.9247 DJF

2018 CNY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CNY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 6, valuing the pair at 28.4030. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 25.5172.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8858 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.8114 to the December average rate of 25.8295, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 28.4030 was up 2.95% compared to the 2017 peak of 27.5890, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 710,074 DJF

2017 Average 661,676 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 637,929 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 72,145.19 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

28.3263

25.4168

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.8993, compared to 25.9502 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9491 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.8993

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 25.9502

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 1.0095 DJF (High: 27.8721 / Low: 26.8627). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2545 DJF (High: 26.0952 / Low: 25.8407).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.0095

September Spread (Stable) ±0.2545

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.0310 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0310

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 28.0838) against the same month in 2017 (average: 26.0292), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0546 (+7.89%).

2018 Avg (February) 28.0838

2017 Avg (February) 26.0292

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	28.3679	27.3845	27.8114
February	28.4030	27.8518	28.0838
March	28.2157	27.8343	28.0036
April	28.1997	27.9082	28.0810
May	28.1234	27.7220	27.8849
June	27.8721	26.8627	27.5310
July	26.9033	26.0792	26.5000
August	26.1777	25.6713	26.0065
September	26.0952	25.8407	25.9779
October	25.9212	25.5172	25.7281
November	25.8315	25.5690	25.6593
December	26.0414	25.5784	25.8295