YEARLY HIGH
26.6180 DJF
YEARLY LOW
21.7465 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
25.7702 DJF

2019 CNY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CNY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 27, valuing the pair at 26.6180. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 21.7465.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8715 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 26.0704 to the December average rate of 25.3903, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 26.6180 was down 6.28% compared to the 2018 peak of 28.4030, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 665,450 DJF
2018 Average 672,911 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 543,662 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 121,788.54 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

26.6640
24.8721
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 26.2153, compared to 25.3251 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8902 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 26.2153
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 25.3251

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 4.8254 DJF (High: 26.5719 / Low: 21.7465). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1637 DJF (High: 25.9859 / Low: 25.8222).

January Spread (Volatile) ±4.8254
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1637

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.6578 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6578

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 26.4090) against the same month in 2018 (average: 28.0838), the exchange rate shifted by -1.6748 (-5.96%).

2019 Avg (February) 26.4090
2018 Avg (February) 28.0838

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 26.5719 21.7465 26.0704
February 26.6180 26.2133 26.4090
March 26.5965 26.4206 26.5147
April 26.6140 26.4011 26.5069
May 26.4369 25.7345 25.9822
June 25.9855 25.6889 25.8087
July 25.9859 25.8222 25.8768
August 25.8092 24.8454 25.2190
September 25.1935 24.7945 25.0214
October 25.2873 24.9003 25.0884
November 25.5097 25.2934 25.3550
December 25.5626 25.2082 25.3903