YEARLY HIGH
1.3392 HUF
YEARLY LOW
1.1930 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2594 HUF

2013 DJF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the DJF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 27, valuing the pair at 1.3392. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 1.1930.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1462 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2450 to the December average rate of 1.2285, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.3392 was down 4.15% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.3971, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,696 HUF
2012 Average 6,313 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 5,965 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 731.02 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.3260
1.2090
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2710, compared to 1.2479 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0231 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2710
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2479

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.0724 HUF (High: 1.3355 / Low: 1.2631). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0188 HUF (High: 1.2550 / Low: 1.2362).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0724
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0188

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0438 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0438

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 1.3162) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.2374), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0788 (+6.37%).

2013 Avg (March) 1.3162
2012 Avg (March) 1.2374

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2553 1.2202 1.2450
February 1.2732 1.2058 1.2345
March 1.3392 1.2757 1.3162
April 1.3355 1.2631 1.2947
May 1.2829 1.2585 1.2709
June 1.2868 1.2277 1.2645
July 1.2994 1.2539 1.2687
August 1.2832 1.2500 1.2647
September 1.2900 1.2385 1.2625
October 1.2385 1.1930 1.2188
November 1.2550 1.2362 1.2441
December 1.2608 1.2077 1.2285