YEARLY HIGH
1.6134 HUF
YEARLY LOW
1.3846 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5195 HUF

2018 DJF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 1.6134. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 1.3846.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2288 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4178 to the December average rate of 1.5931, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.6134 was down 3.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.6708, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,067 HUF
2017 Average 7,668 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 6,923 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,143.77 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.6107
1.4003
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4613, compared to 1.5778 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1164 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4613
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5778

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0828 HUF (High: 1.5624 / Low: 1.4796). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0247 HUF (High: 1.4440 / Low: 1.4193).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0828
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0247

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0063 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0063

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 1.5924) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.4843), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1081 (+7.29%).

2018 Avg (November) 1.5924
2017 Avg (November) 1.4843

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4493 1.3938 1.4178
February 1.4545 1.3846 1.4219
March 1.4440 1.4193 1.4301
April 1.4671 1.4154 1.4360
May 1.5624 1.4796 1.5089
June 1.5957 1.5162 1.5532
July 1.5924 1.5404 1.5595
August 1.6073 1.5458 1.5719
September 1.5885 1.5428 1.5656
October 1.6121 1.5620 1.5840
November 1.6134 1.5756 1.5924
December 1.6081 1.5725 1.5931