YEARLY HIGH
1.4640 HUF
YEARLY LOW
1.2125 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3037 HUF

2014 DJF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the DJF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 1.4640. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 1.2125.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2515 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2438 to the December average rate of 1.4182, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.4640 was up 9.32% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.3392, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,320 HUF
2013 Average 6,298 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 6,062 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,257.39 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.4360
1.2224
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2548, compared to 1.3525 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0977 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2548
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3525

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0858 HUF (High: 1.4640 / Low: 1.3781). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0269 HUF (High: 1.2778 / Low: 1.2509).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0858
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0269

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0200 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0200

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 1.4182) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.2285), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1897 (+15.44%).

2014 Avg (December) 1.4182
2013 Avg (December) 1.2285

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2961 1.2125 1.2438
February 1.3051 1.2627 1.2747
March 1.2778 1.2509 1.2658
April 1.2584 1.2309 1.2458
May 1.2513 1.2235 1.2402
June 1.2738 1.2406 1.2588
July 1.3097 1.2689 1.2799
August 1.3440 1.3014 1.3180
September 1.3843 1.3347 1.3608
October 1.3860 1.3425 1.3598
November 1.3979 1.3637 1.3783
December 1.4640 1.3781 1.4182