2016 DJF to HUF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6790 HUF

YEARLY LOW

1.5226 HUF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5838 HUF

2016 DJF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 1.6790. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 1.5226.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1564 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6282 to the December average rate of 1.6592, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.6790 was up 1.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.6575, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,395 HUF

2015 Average 7,862 HUF

Yearly Trough Low 7,613 HUF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 782.11 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.6704

1.5357

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5764, compared to 1.5912 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0148 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5764

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5912

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1092 HUF (High: 1.6540 / Low: 1.5449). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0229 HUF (High: 1.5563 / Low: 1.5334).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1092

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0229

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0559 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0559

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.6592) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6252), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0339 (+2.09%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.6592

2015 Avg (December) 1.6252

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6434	1.6145	1.6282
February	1.6089	1.5492	1.5723
March	1.6079	1.5476	1.5725
April	1.5563	1.5334	1.5469
May	1.5937	1.5226	1.5678
June	1.6214	1.5332	1.5707
July	1.6138	1.5720	1.6019
August	1.5815	1.5439	1.5603
September	1.5685	1.5323	1.5517
October	1.6002	1.5333	1.5663
November	1.6540	1.5449	1.6080
December	1.6790	1.6362	1.6592