2011 DJF to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4818 NPR

YEARLY LOW

0.3955 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4164 NPR

2011 DJF to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the DJF to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 0.4818. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 0.3955.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0863 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4005 to the December average rate of 0.4709, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.4818 was up 16.43% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.4138, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,409 NPR

2010 Average 2,008 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 1,977 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 431.33 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.4781

0.3915

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4012, compared to 0.4316 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0304 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4012

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4316

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.0280 NPR (High: 0.4623 / Low: 0.4343). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0039 NPR (High: 0.4002 / Low: 0.3963).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0280

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0039

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0042 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.4709) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.3982), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0727 (+18.27%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.4709

2010 Avg (December) 0.3982

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4024	0.3965	0.4005
February	0.4024	0.3979	0.4006
March	0.4002	0.3963	0.3989
April	0.4012	0.3968	0.3987
May	0.4088	0.3977	0.4046
June	0.4060	0.4011	0.4040
July	0.4030	0.3955	0.3998
August	0.4145	0.3968	0.4081
September	0.4372	0.4105	0.4254
October	0.4397	0.4337	0.4360
November	0.4623	0.4343	0.4495
December	0.4818	0.4569	0.4709