2018 DJF to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6684 NPR

YEARLY LOW

0.5666 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6150 NPR

2018 DJF to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 0.6684. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 14, dropping to 0.5666.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1018 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5697 to the December average rate of 0.6349, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6684 was up 8.75% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6147, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,342 NPR

2017 Average 2,913 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 2,833 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 508.83 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6707

0.5605

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5914, compared to 0.6387 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0473 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5914

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6387

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0338 NPR (High: 0.6600 / Low: 0.6262). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0038 NPR (High: 0.5894 / Low: 0.5856).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0338

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0038

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0157 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0157

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 0.6615) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5822), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0793 (+13.62%).

2018 Avg (October) 0.6615

2017 Avg (October) 0.5822

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5731	0.5666	0.5697
February	0.5892	0.5708	0.5801
March	0.5894	0.5856	0.5876
April	0.6046	0.5869	0.5940
May	0.6139	0.6018	0.6077
June	0.6177	0.6018	0.6091
July	0.6204	0.6149	0.6174
August	0.6376	0.6154	0.6251
September	0.6532	0.6376	0.6474
October	0.6684	0.6547	0.6615
November	0.6600	0.6262	0.6458
December	0.6470	0.6267	0.6349