2012 DJF to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5079 NPR

YEARLY LOW

0.4378 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4788 NPR

2012 DJF to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the DJF to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 22, valuing the pair at 0.5079. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 0.4378.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0700 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4604 to the December average rate of 0.4920, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.5079 was up 5.42% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.4818, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,539 NPR

2011 Average 2,083 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 2,189 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 350.16 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.5054

0.4365

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4665, compared to 0.4912 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0247 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4665

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4912

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0369 NPR (High: 0.4791 / Low: 0.4422). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0071 NPR (High: 0.5029 / Low: 0.4958).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0369

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0071

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0181 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0181

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 0.4997) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.4040), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0957 (+23.70%).

2012 Avg (June) 0.4997

2011 Avg (June) 0.4040

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4791	0.4422	0.4604
February	0.4500	0.4378	0.4422
March	0.4574	0.4416	0.4502
April	0.4708	0.4537	0.4619
May	0.5024	0.4692	0.4845
June	0.5079	0.4933	0.4997
July	0.5025	0.4877	0.4969
August	0.5029	0.4958	0.4988
September	0.5007	0.4748	0.4895
October	0.4859	0.4655	0.4767
November	0.5004	0.4843	0.4931
December	0.4958	0.4874	0.4920