YEARLY HIGH
53.3691 CDF
YEARLY LOW
40.9448 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
44.3035 CDF

2016 ETB to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 53.3691. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 40.9448.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.4243 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.6251 to the December average rate of 52.0130, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 53.3691 was up 16.07% compared to the 2015 peak of 45.9801, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 266,846 CDF
2015 Average 223,911 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 204,724 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 62,121.50 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

52.9356
41.8644
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 43.2389, compared to 45.3681 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.1293 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 43.2389
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 45.3681

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 10.3568 CDF (High: 51.3016 / Low: 40.9448). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3625 CDF (High: 43.2457 / Low: 42.8832).

November Spread (Volatile) ±10.3568
April Spread (Stable) ±0.3625

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4069 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4069

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 52.0130) against the same month in 2015 (average: 43.8947), the exchange rate shifted by +8.1184 (+18.50%).

2016 Avg (December) 52.0130
2015 Avg (December) 43.8947

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 43.8036 43.3848 43.6251
February 43.7616 43.3168 43.5487
March 43.5857 43.0493 43.3409
April 43.2457 42.8832 43.0501
May 43.1028 42.3992 42.7870
June 44.1625 41.8459 43.0812
July 44.3444 43.0356 43.3491
August 44.6182 43.9866 44.2676
September 44.4316 43.8339 44.1666
October 44.2788 43.1413 43.7597
November 51.3016 40.9448 44.6528
December 53.3691 50.6310 52.0130