YEARLY HIGH
60.6385 CDF
YEARLY LOW
57.0113 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
58.5307 CDF

2018 ETB to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 60.6385. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 57.0113.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6272 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 58.3287 to the December average rate of 57.6542, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 60.6385 was down 13.99% compared to the 2017 peak of 70.5030, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 303,193 CDF
2017 Average 304,624 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 285,057 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,135.92 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

59.1137
57.5215
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 58.6231, compared to 58.4382 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1850 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 58.6231
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 58.4382

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 3.6269 CDF (High: 60.6385 / Low: 57.0116). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1906 CDF (High: 58.7713 / Low: 58.5807).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3.6269
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1906

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.5835 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5835

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 58.7718) against the same month in 2017 (average: 66.9311), the exchange rate shifted by -8.1593 (-12.19%).

2018 Avg (July) 58.7718
2017 Avg (July) 66.9311

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 58.9172 57.1193 58.3287
February 59.3197 58.0552 58.5678
March 59.0807 58.3503 58.8069
April 58.9805 58.5871 58.7635
May 58.7713 58.5807 58.6790
June 58.9043 58.4947 58.5928
July 60.6385 57.0116 58.7718
August 59.4435 58.2237 58.8506
September 59.6809 58.1395 58.9810
October 59.3120 57.3310 58.3976
November 58.8660 57.1936 57.9737
December 58.4653 57.0113 57.6542