YEARLY HIGH
49.7275 CDF
YEARLY LOW
37.5611 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
42.6111 CDF

2023 ETB to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ETB to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 49.7275. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 15, dropping to 37.5611.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.1664 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.1966 to the December average rate of 48.4795, the exchange rate registered a net change of 26.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 49.7275 was up 22.05% compared to the 2022 peak of 40.7426, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 248,638 CDF
2022 Average 194,487 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 187,806 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 60,831.97 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

49.5078
37.1683
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.4970, compared to 45.7252 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.2281 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.4970
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 45.7252

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 5.4407 CDF (High: 43.0018 / Low: 37.5611). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6022 CDF (High: 45.1440 / Low: 44.5418).

May Spread (Volatile) ±5.4407
August Spread (Stable) ±0.6022

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0770 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0770

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 48.4795) against the same month in 2022 (average: 38.2088), the exchange rate shifted by +10.2707 (+26.88%).

2023 Avg (December) 48.4795
2022 Avg (December) 38.2088

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 38.5760 37.7230 38.1966
February 38.7313 38.0076 38.4018
March 38.7588 37.9592 38.4733
April 40.4787 37.5855 38.4183
May 43.0018 37.5611 40.2493
June 44.1392 42.4992 43.2427
July 46.5924 44.0977 45.0328
August 45.1440 44.5418 44.9558
September 45.4070 44.4789 44.9793
October 46.4639 44.4715 45.2842
November 48.4695 44.1739 45.6193
December 49.7275 47.4227 48.4795