YEARLY HIGH
50.2412 CDF
YEARLY LOW
8.8418 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
45.5650 CDF

2021 ETB to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ETB to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 50.2412. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 8.8418.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 41.3994 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 50.0706 to the December average rate of 40.1059, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 50.2412 was down 11.12% compared to the 2020 peak of 56.5271, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 251,206 CDF
2020 Average 264,821 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 44,209 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 206,997.04 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

51.0670
39.1094
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.2082, compared to 42.9217 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.2865 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.2082
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 42.9217

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 32.9819 CDF (High: 41.8237 / Low: 8.8418). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4348 CDF (High: 50.2139 / Low: 49.7791).

December Spread (Volatile) ±32.9819
January Spread (Stable) ±0.4348

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.0862 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0862

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2021: 49.7188) against the same month in 2020 (average: 52.6678), the exchange rate shifted by -2.9490 (-5.60%).

2021 Avg (February) 49.7188
2020 Avg (February) 52.6678

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 50.2139 49.7791 50.0706
February 50.2412 49.0703 49.7188
March 49.7445 47.6220 49.0953
April 48.4951 47.2604 47.7829
May 47.7143 45.6929 46.8078
June 46.2341 45.3008 45.7740
July 45.7107 44.7959 45.2123
August 45.1731 43.4729 44.0646
September 43.6468 42.8091 43.2272
October 43.3520 41.9748 42.7281
November 42.5397 41.5259 42.1921
December 41.8237 8.8418 40.1059