YEARLY HIGH
5.4562 RSD
YEARLY LOW
4.6040 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9450 RSD

2012 ETB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ETB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 5.4562. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 4.6040.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8522 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7005 to the December average rate of 4.7390, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 5.4562 was down 15.49% compared to the 2011 peak of 6.4564, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,281 RSD
2011 Average 23,385 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 23,020 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,260.76 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

5.3600
4.6405
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8834, compared to 5.0066 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1232 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8834
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0066

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.5533 RSD (High: 5.3702 / Low: 4.8169). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1005 RSD (High: 4.8798 / Low: 4.7793).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5533
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2818 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2818

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 5.3001) against the same month in 2011 (average: 4.1991), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1010 (+26.22%).

2012 Avg (July) 5.3001
2011 Avg (July) 4.1991

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7666 4.6394 4.7005
February 4.7624 4.6040 4.7081
March 4.8781 4.7616 4.8052
April 4.8798 4.7793 4.8442
May 5.3702 4.8169 5.0365
June 5.3634 5.1016 5.2057
July 5.4562 5.1317 5.3001
August 5.3922 5.2057 5.2955
September 5.2333 4.8746 5.0137
October 4.9595 4.7106 4.8473
November 4.8867 4.7541 4.8439
December 4.8425 4.6738 4.7390