YEARLY HIGH
5.3554 RSD
YEARLY LOW
4.9268 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0941 RSD

2016 ETB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 24, valuing the pair at 5.3554. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 21, dropping to 4.9268.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4286 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3107 to the December average rate of 5.2258, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.3554 was down 4.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.5810, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,777 RSD
2015 Average 26,295 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 24,634 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,142.95 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.3446
4.9370
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1240, compared to 5.0643 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0597 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1240
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0643

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.2904 RSD (High: 5.3161 / Low: 5.0256). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0473 RSD (High: 4.9936 / Low: 4.9463).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2904
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0473

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1476 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1476

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.3107) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.2027), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1080 (+2.08%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.3107
2015 Avg (January) 5.2027

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3554 5.2657 5.3107
February 5.2986 5.0988 5.1885
March 5.3161 5.0256 5.1715
April 5.0737 4.9517 5.0239
May 5.0822 4.9439 5.0155
June 5.1431 4.9708 5.0339
July 5.1030 5.0115 5.0733
August 5.0433 4.9268 4.9818
September 4.9936 4.9463 4.9710
October 5.1105 4.9359 5.0240
November 5.2293 4.9527 5.1096
December 5.3491 5.1281 5.2258