YEARLY HIGH
3.7661 RSD
YEARLY LOW
3.4403 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6205 RSD

2018 ETB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 28, valuing the pair at 3.7661. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 3.4403.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3257 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5418 to the December average rate of 3.6869, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.7661 was down 28.52% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.2687, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,830 RSD
2017 Average 22,636 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 17,202 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,628.62 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.7400
3.4613
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5530, compared to 3.6879 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1348 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5530
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6879

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.1667 RSD (High: 3.7169 / Low: 3.5502). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0481 RSD (High: 3.7389 / Low: 3.6908).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1667
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0481

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0572 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0572

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 3.6980) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.9397), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2417 (-6.13%).

2018 Avg (October) 3.6980
2017 Avg (October) 3.9397

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6311 3.4650 3.5418
February 3.5350 3.4403 3.4845
March 3.5210 3.4580 3.4856
April 3.5544 3.4734 3.5042
May 3.7169 3.5502 3.6326
June 3.7071 3.6291 3.6697
July 3.6861 3.6369 3.6613
August 3.7646 3.6498 3.7026
September 3.7194 3.5989 3.6616
October 3.7661 3.6597 3.6980
November 3.7389 3.6908 3.7168
December 3.7357 3.6306 3.6869