YEARLY HIGH
4.9541 RSD
YEARLY LOW
4.2504 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4936 RSD

2014 ETB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ETB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 4.9541. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 6, dropping to 4.2504.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7037 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4208 to the December average rate of 4.8930, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.9541 was up 4.50% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.7406, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,771 RSD
2013 Average 22,755 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 21,252 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,518.46 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.9522
4.2421
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3536, compared to 4.6336 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2800 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3536
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6336

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.1778 RSD (High: 4.6879 / Low: 4.5100). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0349 RSD (High: 4.3549 / Low: 4.3200).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1778
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0349

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0716 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0716

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 4.8930) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.3839), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5091 (+11.61%).

2014 Avg (December) 4.8930
2013 Avg (December) 4.3839

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4709 4.3599 4.4208
February 4.5101 4.3544 4.4095
March 4.3746 4.2983 4.3379
April 4.3358 4.2688 4.3013
May 4.3504 4.2504 4.3149
June 4.3549 4.3200 4.3370
July 4.4127 4.3102 4.3522
August 4.5110 4.4000 4.4461
September 4.6879 4.5100 4.6173
October 4.7427 4.6648 4.7031
November 4.8240 4.7268 4.7896
December 4.9541 4.8105 4.8930