2011 FJD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1617.2247 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1229.7948 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1403.3517 UGX

2011 FJD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the FJD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 24, valuing the pair at 1617.2247. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 1229.7948.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 387.4300 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1265.4575 to the December average rate of 1339.2093, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1617.2247 was up 27.74% compared to the 2010 peak of 1266.0323, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FJD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,086,124 UGX

2010 Average 5,658,839 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,148,974 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,937,149.78 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1605.3704

1234.5563

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FJD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1319.3440, compared to 1487.3594 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 168.0154 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1319.3440

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1487.3594

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 176.3287 UGX (High: 1521.5263 / Low: 1345.1975). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 28.9331 UGX (High: 1364.5764 / Low: 1335.6434).

June Spread (Volatile) ±176.3287

May Spread (Stable) ±28.9331

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 111.4773 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -111.4773

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 1574.4692) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1146.2325), the exchange rate shifted by +428.2367 (+37.36%).

2011 Avg (August) 1574.4692

2010 Avg (August) 1146.2325

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1299.8169	1229.7948	1265.4575
February	1291.8449	1246.0599	1275.7852
March	1327.7878	1279.7830	1306.2194
April	1361.2349	1291.5337	1331.2231
May	1364.5764	1335.6434	1347.9892
June	1521.5263	1345.1975	1389.3894
July	1527.6907	1460.6723	1486.6486
August	1617.2247	1520.4223	1574.4692
September	1603.3741	1547.5809	1571.8503
October	1572.2608	1475.5492	1531.7281
November	1477.4557	1368.7656	1420.2508
December	1395.5256	1281.3622	1339.2093