2019 FJD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2006.2530 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1661.6209 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1719.4436 UGX

2019 FJD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the FJD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 15, valuing the pair at 2006.2530. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 1661.6209.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 344.6321 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1744.3223 to the December average rate of 1695.6809, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2006.2530 was up 7.14% compared to the 2018 peak of 1872.6055, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FJD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,031,265 UGX

2018 Average 8,948,611 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,308,105 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,723,160.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1756.3680

1679.1556

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FJD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1740.9057, compared to 1697.9814 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 42.9243 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1740.9057

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1697.9814

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was September, with a trading range of 335.6604 UGX (High: 2006.2530 / Low: 1670.5926). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 21.0754 UGX (High: 1751.8836 / Low: 1730.8082).

September Spread (Volatile) ±335.6604

May Spread (Stable) ±21.0754

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 31.2011 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -31.2011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2019: 1694.2580) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1789.6573), the exchange rate shifted by -95.3994 (-5.33%).

2019 Avg (September) 1694.2580

2018 Avg (September) 1789.6573

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1766.0005	1720.2874	1744.3223
February	1747.9986	1721.3224	1731.0540
March	1753.4204	1726.5508	1740.8925
April	1762.4360	1734.7813	1749.9337
May	1751.8836	1730.8082	1744.3340
June	1758.5342	1706.3820	1734.8978
July	1741.9903	1711.4204	1726.6289
August	1710.7558	1661.6209	1695.4278
September	2006.2530	1670.5926	1694.2580
October	1705.6682	1668.6019	1685.5900
November	1703.5835	1678.9054	1690.3031
December	1711.4350	1684.8341	1695.6809