YEARLY HIGH
1872.6055 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1727.9649 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1789.9747 UGX

2018 FJD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the FJD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 1872.6055. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 1727.9649.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 144.6407 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1801.3365 to the December average rate of 1749.6197, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1872.6055 was up 3.11% compared to the 2017 peak of 1816.2022, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FJD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,363,028 UGX
2017 Average 8,782,112 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 8,639,824 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 723,203.31 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1856.1544
1739.9348
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FJD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1809.2302, compared to 1770.7193 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 38.5109 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1809.2302
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1770.7193

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 97.3398 UGX (High: 1854.7229 / Low: 1757.3831). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 31.4358 UGX (High: 1821.1118 / Low: 1789.6760).

July Spread (Volatile) ±97.3398
February Spread (Stable) ±31.4358

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 55.7617 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -55.7617

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1846.4694) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1741.1921), the exchange rate shifted by +105.2773 (+6.05%).

2018 Avg (June) 1846.4694
2017 Avg (June) 1741.1921

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1822.6295 1777.4349 1801.3365
February 1821.1118 1789.6760 1803.1685
March 1817.3135 1783.1014 1800.6047
April 1831.3057 1792.9833 1811.3917
May 1820.6755 1775.0132 1792.4103
June 1872.6055 1815.3039 1846.4694
July 1854.7229 1757.3831 1790.7077
August 1793.4232 1739.7379 1767.5961
September 1813.7215 1771.7740 1789.6573
October 1804.0323 1743.8022 1761.7492
November 1775.3356 1732.3738 1764.9857
December 1776.8719 1727.9649 1749.6197