2014 FJD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1456.5511 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1300.3430 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1381.4803 UGX

2014 FJD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the FJD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 1456.5511. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 1300.3430.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 156.2080 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1326.9337 to the December average rate of 1397.1454, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1456.5511 was down 5.41% compared to the 2013 peak of 1539.8194, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FJD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,282,755 UGX

2013 Average 7,068,588 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,501,715 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 781,040.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1444.4268

1303.2820

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FJD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1360.2072, compared to 1402.7534 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 42.5462 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1360.2072

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1402.7534

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 50.1027 UGX (High: 1415.0770 / Low: 1364.9743). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 13.6937 UGX (High: 1384.9384 / Low: 1371.2446).

October Spread (Volatile) ±50.1027

May Spread (Stable) ±13.6937

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 26.1504 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -26.1504

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 1432.6647) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1371.0211), the exchange rate shifted by +61.6436 (+4.50%).

2014 Avg (July) 1432.6647

2013 Avg (July) 1371.0211

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1349.6972	1303.6874	1326.9337
February	1348.1074	1300.3430	1315.0441
March	1388.8375	1339.1778	1361.1874
April	1390.0964	1363.6165	1375.3479
May	1384.9384	1371.2446	1378.7105
June	1420.4924	1379.8463	1404.0196
July	1456.5511	1410.8015	1432.6647
August	1412.4937	1392.3154	1406.5143
September	1410.0866	1374.0445	1387.3914
October	1415.0770	1364.9743	1388.5908
November	1421.4028	1375.2076	1404.2137
December	1421.7533	1378.2251	1397.1454