2016 GEL to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

57.9841 ALL

YEARLY LOW

46.0142 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

52.6201 ALL

2016 GEL to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 57.9841. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 46.0142.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.9699 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 52.1742 to the December average rate of 48.3683, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 57.9841 was down 23.17% compared to the 2015 peak of 75.4703, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 289,921 ALL

2015 Average 288,942 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 230,071 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 59,849.42 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

56.8866

47.5939

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 53.5180, compared to 51.7222 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7957 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 53.5180

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 51.7222

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 5.3424 ALL (High: 57.9300 / Low: 52.5876). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8464 ALL (High: 53.0149 / Low: 52.1685).

June Spread (Volatile) ±5.3424

October Spread (Stable) ±0.8464

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.3513 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.3513

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 56.1122) against the same month in 2015 (average: 54.3733), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7388 (+3.20%).

2016 Avg (May) 56.1122

2015 Avg (May) 54.3733

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	52.8700	50.9937	52.1742
February	51.4757	49.3680	50.2306
March	53.6492	50.8457	52.3240
April	55.0241	53.0387	54.2091
May	57.9841	54.2642	56.1122
June	57.9300	52.5876	56.0577
July	53.1979	51.9537	52.7063
August	53.6538	51.9135	52.6238
September	53.7786	52.2453	53.0044
October	53.0149	52.1685	52.6345
November	51.7697	50.2368	50.9958
December	49.8819	46.0142	48.3683