YEARLY HIGH
45.1675 ALL
YEARLY LOW
40.1175 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
43.5055 ALL

2018 GEL to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 45.1675. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 40.1175.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.0500 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 42.8005 to the December average rate of 40.7574, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 45.1675 was down 15.82% compared to the 2017 peak of 53.6559, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 225,837 ALL
2017 Average 238,323 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 200,588 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,249.76 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

44.9023
40.3806
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 43.4983, compared to 43.5128 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0145 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 43.4983
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 43.5128

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 4.1517 ALL (High: 45.1675 / Low: 41.0158). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4566 ALL (High: 44.2921 / Low: 43.8355).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.1517
July Spread (Stable) ±0.4566

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.6364 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.6364

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 43.3938) against the same month in 2017 (average: 44.1170), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7232 (-1.64%).

2018 Avg (November) 43.3938
2017 Avg (November) 44.1170

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 43.5847 42.2297 42.8005
February 44.5982 43.1861 43.7052
March 43.8759 43.0098 43.4797
April 43.9372 42.7795 43.2189
May 44.3785 43.1973 43.7641
June 44.3959 43.0785 44.0212
July 44.2921 43.8355 44.0493
August 45.0962 43.4005 44.1423
September 44.7080 43.6660 44.2083
October 45.0349 44.0197 44.5255
November 45.1675 41.0158 43.3938
December 41.2752 40.1175 40.7574