YEARLY HIGH
41.8180 ALL
YEARLY LOW
36.7777 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
39.0955 ALL

2019 GEL to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 17, valuing the pair at 41.8180. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 36.7777.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.0403 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.9088 to the December average rate of 38.0770, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 41.8180 was down 7.42% compared to the 2018 peak of 45.1675, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 209,090 ALL
2018 Average 217,508 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 183,889 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,201.41 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

41.7577
36.8010
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.5889, compared to 37.6021 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.9867 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.5889
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.6021

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 2.2158 ALL (High: 39.6996 / Low: 37.4838). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4751 ALL (High: 37.8276 / Low: 37.3524).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.2158
October Spread (Stable) ±0.4751

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.0661 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0661

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 41.3446) against the same month in 2018 (average: 43.7052), the exchange rate shifted by -2.3606 (-5.40%).

2019 Avg (February) 41.3446
2018 Avg (February) 43.7052

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 41.3005 40.1966 40.9088
February 41.8180 40.9031 41.3446
March 41.5065 40.9766 41.2368
April 41.5779 40.5177 41.0363
May 40.8577 39.2084 39.9784
June 39.6996 37.4838 39.0282
July 38.8283 36.7777 37.9622
August 37.7721 36.8147 37.2141
September 37.8435 37.0066 37.3072
October 37.8276 37.3524 37.5883
November 37.7966 37.0844 37.4639
December 38.5814 37.3942 38.0770