2016 GEL to JMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

58.8154 JMD

YEARLY LOW

45.9008 JMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

53.0605 JMD

2016 GEL to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 58.8154. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 45.9008.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.9146 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 49.4480 to the December average rate of 48.6194, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 58.8154 was down 10.46% compared to the 2015 peak of 65.6870, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 294,077 JMD

2015 Average 267,929 JMD

Yearly Trough Low 229,504 JMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 64,572.89 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

58.0539

47.7617

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 52.9102, compared to 53.2108 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 52.9102

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 53.2108

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 5.4359 JMD (High: 58.8154 / Low: 53.3795). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7571 JMD (High: 49.2780 / Low: 48.5209).

June Spread (Volatile) ±5.4359

February Spread (Stable) ±0.7571

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 3.6472 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.6472

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 57.1962) against the same month in 2015 (average: 51.2774), the exchange rate shifted by +5.9188 (+11.54%).

2016 Avg (June) 57.1962

2015 Avg (June) 51.2774

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	50.0706	48.4847	49.4480
February	49.2780	48.5209	48.8255
March	53.1574	49.1376	51.2049
April	55.2358	52.9359	54.0664
May	58.2987	55.1199	56.7201
June	58.8154	53.3795	57.1962
July	54.6616	53.6223	54.0395
August	55.8783	53.6966	54.7077
September	55.6031	54.6109	55.1576
October	54.9989	54.0281	54.4739
November	53.9398	50.6679	52.2666
December	50.5254	45.9008	48.6194