YEARLY HIGH
51.7349 JMD
YEARLY LOW
44.8025 JMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
47.4761 JMD

2019 GEL to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 51.7349. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 44.8025.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.9324 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 48.8342 to the December average rate of 47.3670, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 51.7349 was down 7.50% compared to the 2018 peak of 55.9300, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 258,675 JMD
2018 Average 259,546 JMD
Yearly Trough Low 224,013 JMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,661.99 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

50.8440
45.3847
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.4519, compared to 46.5002 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9517 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.4519
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 46.5002

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 4.0785 JMD (High: 49.6234 / Low: 45.5449). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6994 JMD (High: 47.5907 / Low: 46.8912).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.0785
November Spread (Stable) ±0.6994

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.3402 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.3402

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 50.3891) against the same month in 2018 (average: 51.1125), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7234 (-1.42%).

2019 Avg (February) 50.3891
2018 Avg (February) 51.1125

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 50.2659 47.4257 48.8342
February 51.7349 48.2072 50.3891
March 48.6466 46.3304 47.0489
April 49.4787 46.5849 48.0981
May 49.8075 47.6970 49.0079
June 49.6234 45.5449 47.3333
July 47.4728 45.7594 46.5877
August 46.5441 45.5778 46.0887
September 46.3714 45.2151 45.8573
October 46.8500 44.8025 45.8397
November 47.5907 46.8912 47.2608
December 49.2327 46.1104 47.3670