2011 GEL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

63.9906 KES

YEARLY LOW

44.6601 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

52.7232 KES

2011 GEL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GEL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 63.9906. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 44.6601.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.3305 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 45.0761 to the December average rate of 52.0753, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 63.9906 was up 39.09% compared to the 2010 peak of 46.0051, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 319,953 KES

2010 Average 221,554 KES

Yearly Trough Low 223,300 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 96,652.66 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

62.4422

43.4974

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 49.2193, compared to 56.2272 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.0079 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 49.2193

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 56.2272

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 5.6039 KES (High: 59.3977 / Low: 53.7938). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0681 KES (High: 45.7281 / Low: 44.6601).

November Spread (Volatile) ±5.6039

January Spread (Stable) ±1.0681

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 4.6561 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.6561

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 60.8634) against the same month in 2010 (average: 44.9460), the exchange rate shifted by +15.9175 (+35.41%).

2011 Avg (October) 60.8634

2010 Avg (October) 44.9460

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	45.7281	44.6601	45.0761
February	47.3263	44.9039	45.9501
March	50.5054	47.8090	49.2646
April	51.2048	48.8065	50.3708
May	51.7756	49.4685	50.8860
June	55.6984	51.5996	53.7680
July	55.1470	53.2213	53.9796
August	57.4475	55.1686	56.3015
September	61.8769	56.3693	57.9358
October	63.9906	59.7585	60.8634
November	59.3977	53.7938	56.2074
December	54.1353	49.8093	52.0753