2012 GEL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

53.3970 KES

YEARLY LOW

48.5732 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

50.6156 KES

2012 GEL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 53.3970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 48.5732.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8238 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 51.5762 to the December average rate of 51.8056, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 53.3970 was down 16.55% compared to the 2011 peak of 63.9906, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 266,985 KES

2011 Average 263,793 KES

Yearly Trough Low 242,866 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,119.00 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

52.2031

48.3985

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 51.0797, compared to 50.1515 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9281 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 51.0797

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 50.1515

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was October, with a trading range of 2.4570 KES (High: 51.4652 / Low: 49.0083). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2627 KES (High: 48.8359 / Low: 48.5732).

October Spread (Volatile) ±2.4570

August Spread (Stable) ±0.2627

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.8071 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8071

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 51.8489) against the same month in 2011 (average: 50.8860), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9629 (+1.89%).

2012 Avg (May) 51.8489

2011 Avg (May) 50.8860

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	52.4281	50.2223	51.5762
February	50.8588	49.4842	50.1025
March	50.7244	49.7703	50.2251
April	51.1903	50.3640	50.8392
May	53.3970	50.9603	51.8489
June	52.8665	51.0192	51.8860
July	50.5762	48.5900	49.0789
August	48.8359	48.5732	48.7156
September	49.4127	48.6760	48.9728
October	51.4652	49.0083	50.8218
November	51.8494	51.2761	51.5145
December	51.9918	51.6062	51.8056