2016 GEL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

47.5778 KES

YEARLY LOW

36.5677 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

43.0599 KES

2016 GEL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 47.5778. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 36.5677.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.0101 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 42.0165 to the December average rate of 38.5368, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 47.5778 was down 8.90% compared to the 2015 peak of 52.2271, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 237,889 KES

2015 Average 224,492 KES

Yearly Trough Low 182,838 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 55,050.61 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

46.9673

37.7704

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 43.8482, compared to 42.2717 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5765 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 43.8482

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 42.2717

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 4.6489 KES (High: 47.5778 / Low: 42.9289). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6847 KES (High: 43.6889 / Low: 43.0042).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.6489

July Spread (Stable) ±0.6847

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.8852 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8852

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 46.1685) against the same month in 2015 (average: 43.3144), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8541 (+6.59%).

2016 Avg (June) 46.1685

2015 Avg (June) 43.3144

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	42.7384	41.0986	42.0165
February	41.4848	40.7621	41.0700
March	44.4044	40.9330	42.7538
April	45.4455	44.1394	44.8792
May	47.1171	45.3884	46.2009
June	47.5778	42.9289	46.1685
July	43.6889	43.0042	43.2833
August	44.6235	43.0676	43.7606
September	44.2489	43.3608	43.8390
October	43.4632	42.5018	43.0317
November	42.4064	40.0174	41.1787
December	39.8844	36.5677	38.5368