YEARLY HIGH
36.8349 KES
YEARLY LOW
31.0028 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
34.1394 KES

2021 GEL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 36.8349. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 14, dropping to 31.0028.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.8320 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.2802 to the December average rate of 36.4824, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 36.8349 was down 0.61% compared to the 2020 peak of 37.0609, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 184,174 KES
2020 Average 171,254 KES
Yearly Trough Low 155,014 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,160.11 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

36.9870
30.9324
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 32.7897, compared to 35.4891 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.6995 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 32.7897
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.4891

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 2.0252 KES (High: 33.0399 / Low: 31.0148). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2408 KES (High: 35.3650 / Low: 35.1242).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.0252
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2408

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.4406 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4406

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 36.4824) against the same month in 2020 (average: 33.5441), the exchange rate shifted by +2.9384 (+8.76%).

2021 Avg (December) 36.4824
2020 Avg (December) 33.5441

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 33.4548 33.0615 33.2802
February 33.2712 32.9227 33.0905
March 33.0389 32.1461 32.8776
April 31.8446 31.0028 31.4370
May 33.0399 31.0148 31.8666
June 34.7103 33.0394 34.1860
July 35.3203 34.0916 34.6491
August 35.3650 35.1242 35.2518
September 35.5588 35.3093 35.4480
October 35.5466 35.1415 35.3894
November 36.3604 35.1606 35.7140
December 36.8349 36.0215 36.4824