2012 GEL to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

182.3576 MRO

YEARLY LOW

170.6479 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

176.7240 MRO

2012 GEL to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 182.3576. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 10, dropping to 170.6479.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.7097 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 172.7101 to the December average rate of 179.9581, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 182.3576 was up 3.78% compared to the 2011 peak of 175.7156, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 911,788 MRO

2011 Average 830,404 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 853,240 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 58,548.39 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

180.7071

171.7196

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 176.7789, compared to 176.6691 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1098 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 176.7789

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 176.6691

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was October, with a trading range of 8.6281 MRO (High: 181.9516 / Low: 173.3235). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6996 MRO (High: 180.1143 / Low: 178.4148).

October Spread (Volatile) ±8.6281

November Spread (Stable) ±1.6996

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 6.3227 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.3227

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 179.9581) against the same month in 2011 (average: 172.4927), the exchange rate shifted by +7.4653 (+4.33%).

2012 Avg (December) 179.9581

2011 Avg (December) 172.4927

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	173.6342	171.2239	172.7101
February	180.9911	172.9409	175.4888
March	179.5977	175.5802	177.2271
April	178.6604	175.0282	177.3767
May	181.6041	176.7592	179.0795
June	180.4696	175.9085	178.7913
July	174.0937	170.6479	172.4686
August	175.9281	173.7463	174.6650
September	175.1242	173.1973	174.1747
October	181.9516	173.3235	179.4510
November	180.1143	178.4148	179.2973
December	182.3576	177.4381	179.9581