2018 GEL to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

146.9599 MRO

YEARLY LOW

84.6289 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

143.0881 MRO

2018 GEL to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 146.9599. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 84.6289.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 62.3310 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 138.7693 to the December average rate of 134.0863, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 146.9599 was down 4.07% compared to the 2017 peak of 153.2018, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 734,800 MRO

2017 Average 721,463 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 423,144 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 311,655.20 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

146.9931

132.9130

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 144.0635, compared to 142.1127 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9508 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 144.0635

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 142.1127

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 61.4690 MRO (High: 146.0979 / Low: 84.6289). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6589 MRO (High: 145.7511 / Low: 145.0922).

October Spread (Volatile) ±61.4690

July Spread (Stable) ±0.6589

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 7.2093 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.2093

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 145.8197) against the same month in 2017 (average: 149.2752), the exchange rate shifted by -3.4554 (-2.31%).

2018 Avg (April) 145.8197

2017 Avg (April) 149.2752

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	144.2008	136.6993	138.7693
February	145.5871	143.4050	144.4969
March	146.0603	144.4674	145.3606
April	146.9599	143.9139	145.8197
May	146.3398	143.3800	144.9770
June	145.4439	144.3107	144.9577
July	145.7511	145.0922	145.4781
August	146.0979	143.8056	144.5093
September	146.0979	143.5483	145.4017
October	146.0979	84.6289	141.9051
November	145.8935	133.8991	141.2956
December	134.8090	133.2090	134.0863